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According to the latest financial market data, the monetary policy direction of the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September is attracting widespread attention. The CME Group's "FedWatch" tool shows that the market's expectation probability for the Fed to maintain the interest rate unchanged in September is 28.5%, while the expectation probability for a 25 basis point rate cut is 71.5%. This data reflects a decrease from the previous day's expectation of 82.4% for a rate cut, indicating a subtle change in market sentiment.
At the same time, the latest employment data released by the U.S. Department of Labor provided new references for the market. For the week ending August 16, the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits reached 235,000, slightly higher than the previous expectation of 225,000 and the prior value of 224,000. This slight increase in data may have some impact on the Fed's decision-making.
Currently, the financial markets are closely following various economic indicators to predict the future direction of the Fed's policies. Interest rate policy, as an important tool that influences the overall economy, can have profound effects on the global financial market with any changes. Analysts point out that the Fed faces a complex trade-off between controlling inflation and promoting economic growth, and there remains uncertainty regarding the future policy direction.
As the September Fed interest rate meeting approaches, market participants will continue to closely follow changes in various economic data and the public statements of Fed officials to better predict potential policy directions. Regardless of the final outcome, this discussion about American monetary policy will undoubtedly continue to be the focus of global financial markets.