Recently, the views expressed by U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent have sparked widespread discussion in the financial community. Bessent claimed that the current Intrerest Rate level is more than one percentage point higher than the appropriate level. However, the interest rate strategy expert team at Deutsche Bank holds a different opinion.



A team of strategists at Deutsche Bank, led by former Federal Reserve economist Matthew Raskin, conducted an in-depth study. Their findings indicate that the models used by the Federal Reserve in its semiannual monetary policy report do not support Bessenet's claims. In fact, these models do not explicitly indicate the need for a significant interest rate cut, let alone a reduction of 150 to 175 basis points.

The Raskin team pointed out in their latest report that the current federal funds Intrerest Rate is actually within a relatively narrow range as specified by the model, approximately between 4% and 4.65%. This finding suggests that the current rate level may be quite close to the ideal state.

It is worth noting that experts from Deutsche Bank believe that if an adjustment is to be made, a modest rate cut of 25 basis points may be reasonable. This stands in stark contrast to the substantial rate cut suggested by Bessen.

This debate about the Intrerest Rate levels highlights the complexity of economic policy formulation. Different models and analyses can lead to vastly different conclusions, and these differences can have profound effects on financial markets and the overall economy.

As this debate continues, investors and economists will closely monitor the Federal Reserve's next moves. While weighing various perspectives, the Federal Reserve must also consider multiple factors such as inflation and employment to formulate the best monetary policy.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
ThesisInvestorvip
· 08-22 11:58
The trader says one thing and does another.
View OriginalReply0
SingleForYearsvip
· 08-21 09:43
Just lower the interest rate and that's it.
View OriginalReply0
ChainSpyvip
· 08-20 00:50
Deutsche Bank's braking this time is very steady.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-e51e87c7vip
· 08-20 00:45
This group of people will argue back and forth.
View OriginalReply0
FlippedSignalvip
· 08-20 00:39
Deutsche Bank is quite strong this time.
View OriginalReply0
MidnightGenesisvip
· 08-20 00:35
From the model backtesting, a 25bp cut is the optimal reduction in interest rates, and the official data is clearly biased.
View OriginalReply0
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)